General Assumptions

Benchmark Inflation
RPI (%) - this is a key assumption on which virtually all the models income and expenditure items are based. But the model is built so that it can be flexed to test alternative scenarios.


Other Inflation - Margin above/(below) RPI

Management cost inflation (%) - when added to the assumed RPI this gives the annual inflation rate which will be used to inflate both the current level of management costs and the current per unit management cost for each business stream.

Service cost inflation (%) -
when added to the assumed RPI this gives the annual inflation rate which will be used to inflate both the current level of service costs and the current per unit service cost for each business stream.

Care and support cost inflation (%) - when added to the assumed RPI this gives the annual inflation rate which will be used to inflate both the current level of care and support costs and the current per unit care and support cost for each business stream.

Building cost inflation (%) -
when added to the assumed RPI this gives the annual inflation rate which will be used to inflate the current per unit build cost inflation for each business stream.

Major repairs and maintenance cost inflation (%) -
when added to the assumed RPI this gives the annual inflation rate which will be used to inflate both the current level of major repairs and maintenance costs and the current per unit major repairs and maintenance cost for each business stream.

Ongoing repairs and maintenance cost inflation (%) - when added to the assumed RPI this gives the annual inflation rate which will be used to inflate both the current level of ongoing costs and the current per unit ongoing cost for each business stream.


Funding
Average rate on fixed rate debt (%) (absolute rate) - these rates will always be applied to the calculated average amount of fixed rate debt to determine the fixed interest payable, each year, which is part of the total interest.

Average rate on floating rate debt (%) (margin over RPI) - this margin will be added to the assumed RPI and applied to the calculated average amount of floating rate debt to determine the variable interest payable, part of the total interest.

Investment/deposit rate (%) (margin over RPI) - this will be added to the assumed RPI and applied to the calculated average amount of cash and investments to determine interest receivable.

Fixed rate debt % total debt (%) - this will be applied to the calculated total debt at each year end to determine the amount of fixed-rate debt.

Scheduled debt repayments (£000s) - these can only be negative amounts; increases in debt should go on other lines. Increases and decreases should not be netted off.

Cash and short-term investments (£000s) -
this is the level of cash balances each year not the change in cash balances. It should be the expected level or the minimum level required in the light of funding and liquidity policies. The model will deal with the cash consumed or cash generated by adjusting the level of medium and long-term debt. It will only adjust the specified cash balance if surplus cash is generated and all debt has been repaid:

Increase in medium and long-term debt (£000s) - Increases and decreases should not be netted off.

(NB. Comments to come later or may be deleted)

Effective tax rate (%) - this is the expected effective I&E tax rate which will be applied to surplus before tax to calculate the tax charge. If allowances result in no tax being payable this needs to be calculated prior to input.

Debtors and other current assets % turnover (%) - based on past experience, this ratio of debtors etc to total turnover from social housing lettings, other social housing activities and non-social housing activities.

Creditors and other liabilities % expenditure (%) -
based on past experience, the ratio of creditors etc to social housing expenditure.

Housing assets average depreciation rate (%) -
this is the rate that will be used to calculate the housing assets annual depreciation charge for Income Statement and Balance sheet purposes.

Other assets average depreciation rate (%) -
this is the rate that will be used to calculate the other assets annual depreciation for Balance Sheet purposes. The depreciation amount is not charged to the Income Statement because, under standard accounting presentation for the sector, other depreciation is lost in overheads.

Impairment cost (£000s) -
a straight input of any anticipated impairment cost is required since this is often zero or insignificant and impossible to model generically. It will be taken direct to the Income Statement and deducted from the Balance Sheet value of housing properties.

Capitalised interest (%) - what is required is an estimate of the percentage of total interest that is likely to be capitalised, reflecting the amount of borrowing to support development activity. This will be deducted from the I&E interest charge but included in cash interest paid on the Cash Flow Statement and added to the Balance sheet value of fixed assets.

Development department costs (£000s) - a straight input to be taken direct to the Income Statement and deducted from general overheads.

Weeks in year (Units) -
to allow any adjustments to ratios.

Investment in other fixed assets (£000s) -
a straight input required of the forecast capital expenditure on other fixed assets, which tends to be "lumpy" and difficult to model in a simple way. Will be added to other capital expenditure for Cash Flow and Balance Sheet purposes.

Total number of employees (Units) -
ideally the estimated average number of employees during the year. This is only used as a measure of association size and in a few efficiency ratios, not to drive key financial parts of the model.

Annual property revaluation rate (%) -
if properties are partly or wholly revalued, either annually or periodically, this assumption needs to quantify the likely revaluation amount as a percentage of the gross value of housing properties eg if 25% are to be revalued each year by an estimated 10% the input would be 2.5%. This will be applied to the opening balance of housing properties at cost.

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