Credit and Capacity Maps

(5) Cash Flow Drivers
The margin over funding fluctuates between low, positive to low negative for most of the period. Combined with low asset growth of 2 to 3% this results in cash flows close to balance for most of the period but with some surpluses in the later years

(6) Financing Drivers
For most of the period Bushmead is raising new debt for an evenly-balanced mix of interest and capital expenditure. Bushmead starts with both interest and capex equal to 75% of operating cash flow. By 2012 both capex and interest are equal to operating cash flow resulting in considerable new borrowings. By 2032 both capex and interest have fallen to 50% of cash flow resulting in no additional funding requirement

(7) Asset Cover x Repayment Ability
Adjusted net leverage stays around the 20 to 25% level throughout. In terms of EBITDA debt starts at a multiple of 7 and finishes at 7 but in the intervening period peaks at 16 times in 2012 and only really falls after 2022

(8) Debt Servicing x Repayment Ability
Repayment ability as measured by the LLCR (30) gradually and progressively improves from an inadequate 0.7 to an acceptable 1.0 by 2027. Annual interest cover is more volatile and fluctuates between 1.0 and 1.7 with the main improvement in the later years.

 
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